The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Thursday, March 19, 2020

How long to declare the virus beaten?

Wuhan reports no new cases for the day

A first since the outbreak began.

In all of China, no new domestic transmissions

All new cases were new arrivals from outside the country.

China, where the outbreak began, reported no new domestic transmissions of the virus for the first time on Wednesday. 

There were 34 new cases in the country, but all were recent arrivals from overseas. 

As other nations struggle to respond to the pandemic, writes Lily Kuo, Beijing is positioning itself as a global benefactor, sending them testing kits, ventilators, masks and medics.

How many days does an area have to go with no (known) new cases for that area to be virus free?

How long does it take for the people in that area who actually are already infected to die or get over it?

It varies with the severity of the case from two weeks to quite a bit longer.

So, maybe that long plus a couple of weeks?

And then how long will it take for economies to recover?

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