Tomasky raises the interesting possibility that this is the fate of the Republican Party until the plutocrats running the conservative movement realize the consequences of their choice to wager so heavily on the coarsest American stupidity.
The nominee can’t personally be a true-blue conservative since that would spell inevitable doom.
But the nominee has to do what McCain and Romney have done and betray his own political past to please the rabble the conservative plutocrats have made so strong.
And worse, he has to pick a running mate who is, if not one of their own like Sarah Palin, then someone very close to that.
And that, too, spells doom.
Matt Yglesias has pointed out for years that if the economy is in good shape or improving the incumbent wins and if it’s not the incumbent loses.
This is as close to an iron rule as you will find in American politics.
By that rule, Obama hasn’t a prayer.
That is part of the reason why Republicans have espoused a politics of austerity guaranteed to keep things bad and maybe make them worse for all of us who are not plutocrats or their specially favored minions.
And yet, the repulsiveness of the white trash conservatism to which first McCain and then Romney have sacrificed their pasts and their honor and that his running mate must convincingly incarnate may keep Obama in the White House, all the same.
And then there will be 2016, and 2020, and when will it end?
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