The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Yesterday's results

Results

Hillary beat Bernie everywhere, though in some places it was close.

Kasich won Ohio and Trump won everywhere else, including Illinois (remember Chicago last Friday?), though in some places it was close, and Cruz ran strong right behind him.

Rubio is out.

What happened to all those protectionist voters in Ohio who were supposed to go for Trump or Bernie?

Hillary Clinton and John Kasich Win Ohio, and So Does Free Trade

Michigan last week voted for reality-show billionaire Donald Trump and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, the most aggressive trade foes in the field.

But in Ohio, Hillary Clinton and home-state Gov. John Kasich prevailed. 

Clinton has moved to close the distance with Sanders on trade, talking up her opposition to the TPP and the folly of past deals, like NAFTA. 

But she’s undoubtedly more of an internationalist than her rival to the left, having helped initiate the TPP negotiations when she served as President Obama’s Secretary of State. 

And Kasich has been an even more unabashed trade supporter, continuing to embrace the TPP, though he’s sprinkled his rhetoric on the stump with calls for “fair trade,” in a nod to the newly protectionist energy among Republican voters. 

Trump, on the other hand, has savaged the TPP as “insanity” and a “disaster,” and maligned Kasich for his support of it.

Hillary beat Bernie by 13 points and Kasich beat Trump by 11 points.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton was the big winner Tuesday night. 

She had strong victories in Florida and North Carolina and won her native state of Illinois. 

But Ohio was a particularly welcome win, coming just a week after Bernie Sanders scored an upset with Rust Belt voters in Michigan. 

The message that the Sanders campaign tried to send was that Clinton was a "regional candidate" who could only win states with large percentages of black and brown voters.

Sanders, the argument went, was the only candidate who could better appeal to white, working-class Democrats who felt shafted by NAFTA and other trade deals.

Clinton, whether because she has actually moved toward more populist economic policies or simply has done a better job at dressing up her centrist pragmatism -- appears to have burst Sanders' bubble.

Hillary Clinton can now only be said to be a "regional candidate" insofar as the entirety of the United States constitutes a region.

And mostly now she's running against Trump.

This from last night.

She hammered Trump repeatedly during her speech in West Palm Beach, Florida, only a few minutes from Trump's resort there, saying at one point: "When we hear a candidate for president call for rounding up 12 million immigrants, banning Muslims from entering the United States, when he embraces torture, that doesn't make him strong, it makes him wrong."

If Trump's a fascist he's a damned thin-skinned and sulky one.

Last night.

This was a defiant candidate. 

The violence that erupted at his rally in Chicago last weekend didn't stop him from winning the state. 

The media criticism led him only to take a whack at "disgusting reporters" and leave without taking a single question, even though his campaign had advertised his election-night event as a "press conference."

CNN thinks it's unlikely Trump can win a majority of delegates before the convention, where Cruz but also Kasich could hold large blocks.

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