The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Phooey

The political news and comment is all crap this morning.

The primary season isn't even over and I'm already sick of it, all of it, up to and through the generals in November.

Even money Il Duce will be the victor over a Clinton weakened by the Sanders campaign's alienation from her of millions who should be her supporters in November.

20% chance she'll be indicted, most likely after she is nominated.

30% chance or less Bernie will be nominated.

Most people - especially conservative pundits whose cause stands to lose by it - think if Trump wins in November that will cause a lasting change in the defining agenda of the Republican Party, against free trade, against immigration, against NATO expansion, for American nationalism, against the racial, feminist, and LGBT agendas of the left, and against abortion but maybe also for, or anyway much less against, working people, the New Deal, and Big Government.

On the other hand, the people who think they would gain by it, the folks who support the Sanders campaign, are the ones who write about a Sanders presidency changing the agenda of the Democratic Party.

Both groups are probably wrong, since neither of the two outsiders has much if any influence on the selection or ideology of down-ticket candidates or of the personnel who make up the respective party officialdoms, either nationally or at the state and local levels, and none at all on donors or publicists who typically support the two parties.

Even if one or another of the two actually ends up in the White House, he will get at best reluctant support from his own party and "supporters" in the country at large who don't actually support him at all, but only deplore the other fellow even more than the winner.

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