Clinton takes the lead

Clinton Opens 12-Point Lead on Trump as Two-Thirds See Him as Biased

Hillary Clinton surged to a broad advantage against Donald Trump in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, capitalizing on Trump’s recent campaign missteps. 

Two-thirds of Americans see him as biased against groups such as women, minorities or Muslims, and a new high, 64 percent, call Trump unqualified to serve as president.

These and other doubts about Trump have produced a sharp 14-point swing in preferences among registered voters, from +2 points for Trump in mid-May, after he clinched the GOP nomination, to +12 points for Clinton now, 51-39 percent. 

That snaps the race essentially back to where it was in March.

What, no Brexit bump?

And look at this.

The national poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds another apparent impact of Trump’s problems: 

Perhaps benefitting from comparison, Barack Obama’s job approval rating has gained 5 points, to 56 percent, matching its high since the early days of his presidency. 

That includes 55 percent approval specifically on handling the economy.

In his face-off with the president, Il Duce is getting hammered.

Pray that Hillary is not indicted.

Some details.

There are notable shifts among groups in the latest vote preference results. 

Largest is a 16-point loss for Trump, and 17-point advance for Clinton, among white Catholics, a potentially key group that accounts for one in seven registered voters.

Clinton, further, is now leading among young adults, a group in which Trump was surprisingly competitive last month. 

Trump is -11, and Clinton +11, among registered voters who don’t have a college degree, as well as among liberals and conservatives alike. 

And Trump is -10, Clinton +11, among white men.

Clinton continues to prevail mightily among nonwhites – by 77-15 percent now, vs. 69-21 percent last month; that includes 90-8 percent among blacks and 69-20 percent among Hispanics. 

(For an adequate sample size, this combines results among blacks, and separately among Hispanics, from May and June.) 

Trump leads Clinton by 50-40 percent among whites, down from 57-33 percent last month.

Maybe I shouldn't be, but I am surprised his lead among whites is that big, though I am glad to see it has dropped and I hope that trend continues.

Do that many whites really think free trade and immigration have harmed them in net, and that he can change both without political and economic turmoil?

Are that many whites that concerned about Muslim visitors or immigrants, and willing to see 11 million people actually uprooted from their lives and deported?