The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

Joe still ahead, and he's not even in it yet

It may be that Biden has the best chance of winning, but he does not seem likely to be able to do anything with the victory.

He is too wedded to all that obsolete "across the aisle" and "bipartisan" bullshit.

He will not pack the court.

He may not even try to roll back the GOP tax cuts.

Still, any Democrat is better than any Republican, and at least his victory would get the Duce out of the White House.

Biden Still the Leader with 27%

In a field of 24 announced and potential contenders, Joe Biden currently has the support of 27% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters, which is similar to his 28% support in March and 29% in January, according to this morning’s Monmouth University Poll. 

Support for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is currently at 20%, which is down slightly from 25% in March, but still higher than his 16% support in January.

. . . .

South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg currently has 8% support. He registered less than 1% in prior Monmouth polls. 

California Sen. Kamala Harris has 8% support, off just slightly from 10% in March and 11% in January. 

Rounding out the field of top contenders are Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 6% (from 8% in both March and January) and former Texas Congressman Beto O’Rourke at 4% (6% in March and 7% in January).

Others who score at least 1% include New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (2%, from 5% in March and 4% in January), former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper (2%, from 1% in priorpolls), Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (1%, from 3% in March and 2% in January), and New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio (1%, from 1% in March).  

The remaining 14 names asked about in the survey receive support from less than 1% of Democratic voters at this time, which is basically unchanged from their support levels in prior national Monmouth polls.

. . . .

Race and gender do not seem to be important factors for Democratic voters when considering who the party should choose to run against Trump. 

Fully 87% say the race of the nominee does not matter. 

Just 5% say it would be better for Democrats to nominate a person of color, which is offset by 6% who say it would actually be better for the party to nominate a white candidate. 

Similarly, 77% say the gender of the nominee does not matter. 

Just 7% say it would be better for Democrats to nominate a woman, while slightly more (12%) say it would actually be better for the party to nominate a man.

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