The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Friday, July 17, 2020

Why is this wrong?

This story supposes that, because more Democrats view Biden as moderate than liberal while more Republicans view Trump as conservative than moderate, that means Trump's Republican base likes him better or is more enthused about him than Biden's Democratic base does him.

This ignores that GOP voters are more likely to describe themselves as conservative than are Democratic voters to call themselves liberal.

Poll: Voters see Biden as more moderate than Trump

The poll released Thursday finds that 33 percent of registered voters view the former vice president as moderate, compared to 20 percent who say the same of Trump.

Meanwhile, the survey found that more voters view Trump as conservative than view Biden as liberal, suggesting stronger support for Trump than Biden among their respective bases.

Sixty-nine percent of Republicans view Trump as "somewhat" or "very" conservative, compared to 41 percent of Democrats who view Biden as "somewhat" or "very" liberal, a 28-point gap. 

Among Democrats, 43 percent view Biden as moderate and 16 percent view him as conservative, while 17 percent of Republicans said they view Trump as moderate and 14 percent view him as liberal. 

Independent voters are 10 percentage points more likely to say that Biden is the more moderate candidate, which could give the former vice president an edge come November. 

Thirty-eight percent of independents view Biden as moderate while 28 percent view Trump as moderate.

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