The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Friday, October 30, 2015

The GWOT in Syria

Complicated by the roles of Russia and Iran.



Where key players stand on Assad

• US: Assad must go, but does not need to happen before a political transition process get under way
• Saudi Arabia: Assad must go "within a specific timeframe" and before any elections for a new government
• Turkey: Assad must go, though could remain for a "symbolic" six months
• SNC (main Western- and Gulf Arab-backed anti-Assad opposition): Assad must go, cannot be part of any political process
• Russia: Assad should not be forced to go, Syrians should hold elections to decide who rules them
• Iran: Assad should not step down, Syrians should decide their own political future

If not Assad, then who?

The Sunni powers want a Sunni, but not ISIS, and the Americans side with them, apparently out of moral purity.

Assad, like Saddam, is too wicked for the moralizers of the American classe politique.

Democrats who label the war on Iraq foolish but endorse regime change in Egypt, Libya, and Syria are such hypocrites.

The Iranians want Assad rather than any Sunni, and the Russians want anybody but ISIS.

And to snuggle up to Iran and create a Syrian government indebted to them.

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