The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Friday, March 22, 2019

Whither Brexit?

Recall that a no deal exit is what happens by the dates indicated if nothing else is actually and positively chosen by a Parliamentary majority, and that each of the alternatives has been up to now actively rejected by a Parliamentary majority.

So, there's that.

Where Does Brexit Go From Here?

So after insisting for almost two years that Brexit would go ahead on March 29, Mrs. May gave in and requested an extension until the end of June.

But the European Union refused to give her that much time, declaring instead that the British Parliament must decide what it wants to do by April 12.

If lawmakers somehow approve Mrs. May’s deal by then, the exit date would become May 22, to give them time to pass all the additional legislation it would require.

If not, European leaders said, Britain’s choices would be a cliff-edge Brexit on April 12, no Brexit at all or a much longer delay, possibly two years. 

There are no other options.

All the same, factions in the Parliament keep fiddling and pretending they still have a chance to choose something not on the EU menu, just make something up ad lib.

That is delusion.

And I don't believe I have ever before seen such a relentless refusal to face reality.

Each of those options is opposed by most of Parliament, as is the deal on the table.

. . . .

Mrs. May wants to try a third time, possibly next week, to get her plan through Parliament. 

But to succeed, she would have to change the minds of about 70 lawmakers who have already voted against it twice.

The speaker of the House of Commons, John Bercow, ruled this week that she cannot have another vote on the same proposal unless she offers something new. 

The European Union has insisted that it is done negotiating, and there will be no further changes. 

The new dates might count as enough of a difference, but Mr. Bercow has yet to confirm this.

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