The pseudonym "Philo Vaihinger" has been abandoned. All posts have been and are written by me, Joseph Auclair.

Thursday, August 4, 2016

Polls looking better for Hillary

Clinton gets a bump in key battleground states

Hillary Clinton holds commanding leads over Donald Trump in a trio of states that the GOP nominee has made central to his White House bid, according to polls released Thursday following both party's national conventions last month.

In New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Michigan -- states that have trended Democratic in recent elections, but whose economics and demographics seem to pose an opening for the GOP nominee -- Clinton has made strides in improving her favorable ratings, while Trump remains challenged by high unfavorable ratings and resistance from a significant portion of Republicans.

Fox News Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 10 points

Sixty-one percent of voters think Hillary Clinton is dishonest, yet she’s opened up a big lead over Donald Trump in the latest Fox News Poll.

Here’s why: majorities think Clinton is nevertheless qualified to be president, and has the temperament and knowledge to serve effectively. 

It’s the opposite for Trump: over half feel he is not qualified, and lacks the temperament or knowledge to lead the country. 

And his 62 percent dishonesty rating tops hers.

After the conventions, the Clinton-Kaine ticket leads the Trump-Pence ticket by 10 points (49-39 percent) in the race for the White House. 

Clinton’s advantage is outside the poll’s margin of error. 

A month ago, Clinton was up by six points (44-38 percent, June 26-28).

. . . .

The Democrat is winning among the so-called “Obama coalition,” the key voting blocs that secured his re-election. 

Clinton is favored among women by 23 points (57-34 percent), blacks by 83 (87-4 percent), Hispanics by 48 (68-20 percent), and voters under 30 by 18 (49-31 percent).

. . . .

Trump is the choice among whites by 10 points (49-39 percent), men by 5 (45-40 percent), white evangelical Christians by 50 (69-19 percent), and whites without a college degree by 16 (52-36 percent).

. . . .

Twelve percent of Republicans back Clinton. 

That’s more than double the number of Democrats supporting Trump (five percent). 

And while Clinton garners more support among Democrats (87 percent) than Trump does among Republicans (78 percent), she trails among independents. 

They go for the Republican by 41-33 percent. In 2012, independents went for Romney by 50-45 percent.

More Clinton supporters say their vote is for her rather than against Trump (49-47 percent). 

Among Trump supporters, a majority says their vote is better described as being against Clinton (52 percent), while less than half are voting because they like him (44 percent).

We used to think the independents were indifferent or disinterested.

But two facts indicate they are actually just more alienated: they mostly vote Republican - the GOP is a party composed of people who despise today's really existing America, while Dems as a group are much more comfortable with contemporary America's fundamental institutions - and they really go for The Duce.

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