Monday, July 25, 2016

It will not be a Democratic landslide

Donald Trump bounces into the lead

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. 

That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

. . . .

The new findings mark Trump's best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. 

Trump's new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. 

Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). 

Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.

Johnson is the Libertarian Party candidate.

Some who supported Bernie now say he would be better in the White House than Hillary, while also saying Jill Stein of the Greens would be better.

That's some fierce Hillary-hating.

Meanwhile in Philadelphia people who say they were for Bernie now boo him as he endorses Hillary, chanting "Lock her up!" and demonstrating against her and the Democratic Party both inside the hall and outside.

More and more we see praise of Ralph Nader's runs in 2000 and 2004.

Hillary might not just not get a bounce.

She might lose ground because of all this.

The anti-Democrat left put Nixon in the White House in '68 and GW in the White House in 2000.

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